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Morningstar om bankerne og udbytte

84852 tommycarstensen 27/6 2020 02:09

Morningstar er kommet med en interessant kommentar til bankerne og deres udbytte ovenpaa centralbankens stress-test.

Stress Test Results Largely Confirm Our Overall Banking Sector Thesis, but Some Dividend Cuts Likely
The Federal Reserve has released the results of its annual stress tests. Our key takeaway is that the banking system appears to be well-capitalized, even in scenarios that are materially worse than the typical "severely adverse" scenario that the Fed normally uses. This supports our overall thesis, which is that the banks are much better positioned and will be much harder to break this time around. Our base case has been that most banks will be able to maintain their dividends, and we think the latest disclosures support this thesis as well. Based on the released results, we calculate that a select few banks may need to cut their dividends after third-quarter results, including CapitalOne (we think a 100% cut), Wells Fargo (we think less than 100%), and Comerica (we think less than 100%); however, we think the majority will be fine. Banks will have to resubmit their capital plans later in the year, and the Fed has said it will continue to monitor the economic downturn as it develops, so this will remain an active situation with more updates and changes to come. There is still a high degree of uncertainty around the future economic state and what future credit costs will be, but we are generally encouraged by today's results.

29/6 2020 22:54 tommycarstensen 284870

Saa blev det bekraeftet for Wells Fargo:
Wells Fargo says it expects to cut dividend in the third quarter to comply with Fed stress test
- The bank said in a press release that it expects to announce the new dividend when it reports quarterly earnings on July 14.
- The company's previous quarterly common stock dividend was 51 cents per share.

Bank of America, Citi and Goldman keep dividends the same post-stress tests, Wells Fargo to cut