Kommentar fra Per Hansen, Investeringsøkonom, Nordnet
USA er alt større og hurtigere end de fleste andre steder. Det gælder også ikke mindst for og om Tesla og Elon Musk. I går "forsvandt" lidt mere end 100 mia. markedsværdimilliarder
· De seneste uger har Tesla aktien været på himmelflugt - igen
· Efter annonceringen af en Hertz handel steg aktien med 30 % i ugerne efter på trods af at Elon Musk udtalte, at handlen måske lidt overraskende ikke har økonomisk værdi for Tesla
· Siden fulgte Elon Musk's stunt med hensyn til om hun skulle sælge 10 % af sine Tesla aktier opgjort via en Twitterafsteming
· I går kom der - med en dags forsinkelse reaktionen på om Elon Musk eventuelt vil sælge ud - den ventede negative kursreaktion
· Hvis han skal sælge 10 % af sine aktier, vil det svare til 170 mio. aktier eller hvad der svarer til ca. 8 dages gennemsnitlig aktieomsætning
· Det vil kortsigtet kunne trykke aktiekursen og tilfredsstille den ekstreme Tesla aktieappetit der har været
· Mandag kom der kun en mindre reaktion med 4 % fald
· I går tirsdag kom måske så den mere "rigtige" reaktion med 12 % kursfald og en reduktion i markedsværdien på ca. 137 mia. USD
· Hvad der kom hurtigt forsvandt også rigtigt. I hvert fald i relation til de seneste ugers ekstraordinære stigning
Tesla aktien er Elon Musk
Uanset hvordan man vender og drejer det. Solceller, batteriteknologi, elbiler, nanosatellitter, etc. Udsving i Tesla aktien skyldes i hovedsagen ikke hvad der økonomisk sker i Tesla kortsigtet som selskabet, men den "farve" som EM tilfører Tesla aktien. Hvis det ikke forholdt sig sådan, ville udsvingene være meget mindre og mere koncentreret til 4 x regnskabsaflæggelser og op/nedjusteringer fra analytikere. Det er nærmest, når man betragter kursudviklingen, en biting
USA er alt større og hurtigere end de fleste andre steder. Det gælder også ikke mindst for og om Tesla og Elon Musk. I går "forsvandt" lidt mere end 100 mia. markedsværdimilliarder
· De seneste uger har Tesla aktien været på himmelflugt - igen
· Efter annonceringen af en Hertz handel steg aktien med 30 % i ugerne efter på trods af at Elon Musk udtalte, at handlen måske lidt overraskende ikke har økonomisk værdi for Tesla
· Siden fulgte Elon Musk's stunt med hensyn til om hun skulle sælge 10 % af sine Tesla aktier opgjort via en Twitterafsteming
· I går kom der - med en dags forsinkelse reaktionen på om Elon Musk eventuelt vil sælge ud - den ventede negative kursreaktion
· Hvis han skal sælge 10 % af sine aktier, vil det svare til 170 mio. aktier eller hvad der svarer til ca. 8 dages gennemsnitlig aktieomsætning
· Det vil kortsigtet kunne trykke aktiekursen og tilfredsstille den ekstreme Tesla aktieappetit der har været
· Mandag kom der kun en mindre reaktion med 4 % fald
· I går tirsdag kom måske så den mere "rigtige" reaktion med 12 % kursfald og en reduktion i markedsværdien på ca. 137 mia. USD
· Hvad der kom hurtigt forsvandt også rigtigt. I hvert fald i relation til de seneste ugers ekstraordinære stigning
Tesla aktien er Elon Musk
Uanset hvordan man vender og drejer det. Solceller, batteriteknologi, elbiler, nanosatellitter, etc. Udsving i Tesla aktien skyldes i hovedsagen ikke hvad der økonomisk sker i Tesla kortsigtet som selskabet, men den "farve" som EM tilfører Tesla aktien. Hvis det ikke forholdt sig sådan, ville udsvingene være meget mindre og mere koncentreret til 4 x regnskabsaflæggelser og op/nedjusteringer fra analytikere. Det er nærmest, når man betragter kursudviklingen, en biting
10/11 2021 11:15 tommycarstensen 198438
Jeg tror, at der har sneget sig en fejl ind et sted.
"Hvis han skal sælge 10 % af sine aktier, vil det svare til 170 mio. aktier eller hvad der svarer til ca. 8 dages gennemsnitlig aktieomsætning"
Hans samlede antal er 170 millioner aktier, saa handlen kan klares i loebet af en dag. I gaar blev der omsat for 50-60 millioner aktier, og volumen ligger normalvis paa ~20 millioner aktier om dagen. Saa muligvis har han solgt de aktier han skulle. Muligvis har han ikke solgt en eneste aktie.
Han sagde i maj 2020, at kursen var for hoej (kurs ~700), men fundamentalerne har selvfoelgelig aendret sig en smule siden da:
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1256239815256797184
Her kan man se insider-handels-historikken:
https://www.insidearbitrage.com/insider-transactions/?symbol=TSLA
Jeg synes selv kvartalsregnskaber og maanedlige salgstal er mere spaendende :-D Jeg tror, at salget i USA kommer til at vokse hurtigere end salget i Kina og Europa (andre lande) i 2021.
"Hvis han skal sælge 10 % af sine aktier, vil det svare til 170 mio. aktier eller hvad der svarer til ca. 8 dages gennemsnitlig aktieomsætning"
Hans samlede antal er 170 millioner aktier, saa handlen kan klares i loebet af en dag. I gaar blev der omsat for 50-60 millioner aktier, og volumen ligger normalvis paa ~20 millioner aktier om dagen. Saa muligvis har han solgt de aktier han skulle. Muligvis har han ikke solgt en eneste aktie.
Han sagde i maj 2020, at kursen var for hoej (kurs ~700), men fundamentalerne har selvfoelgelig aendret sig en smule siden da:
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1256239815256797184
Her kan man se insider-handels-historikken:
https://www.insidearbitrage.com/insider-transactions/?symbol=TSLA
Jeg synes selv kvartalsregnskaber og maanedlige salgstal er mere spaendende :-D Jeg tror, at salget i USA kommer til at vokse hurtigere end salget i Kina og Europa (andre lande) i 2021.
10/11 2021 11:20 tommycarstensen 198439
Jeg havde problemer med at vedhaefte figur med salget i Europa. Oktober-tallene er tilgaengelige for de fleste lande.
M3 er gaaet helt i staa i Kina (422), hvorimod MY har overtaget. Jeg er selv meget spaendt paa at se salgstallene i Kina i fjerde kvartal. BYD har lige lanceret en EV til ~$20k med en raekkevidde paa knap 1000 kilometer. Jeg saa ogsaa, at de foerste BYD var rullet af en faerge til markedet i Sydamerika, der indtil videre har vaeret mere domineret af elektriske busser frem for elektriske biler.
M3 er gaaet helt i staa i Kina (422), hvorimod MY har overtaget. Jeg er selv meget spaendt paa at se salgstallene i Kina i fjerde kvartal. BYD har lige lanceret en EV til ~$20k med en raekkevidde paa knap 1000 kilometer. Jeg saa ogsaa, at de foerste BYD var rullet af en faerge til markedet i Sydamerika, der indtil videre har vaeret mere domineret af elektriske busser frem for elektriske biler.
11/11 2021 00:44 tommycarstensen 198462
Så er der kommet formular 4 fra direktøren. 2,1 millioner aktier har han foreløbigt solgt ud af de 10% af de 170 millioner aktier. Så størstedelen manglede fortsat ved indgangen til tirsdag, hvor kursen faldt 10% og volumen var 50 millioner aktier. Interessant forløb.
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001318605/000089924321044060/xslF345X03/doc4.xml
https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001318605/000089924321044060/xslF345X03/doc4.xml
11/11 2021 10:19 tommycarstensen 198468
Der kom flere formularer i går. Asif Suria forklarer det hele i denne tråd:
https://twitter.com/AsifSuria/status/1458660190773932036?t=LVz3gnijrawyKjot48uBGw&s=19
Nedenfor interessant information, som jeg ikke var klar over vedrørende chip. Tesla udvikler i øvrigt deres egen chip i samarbejde med Samsung, så vidt jeg er orienteret. VW udvikler også deres egen chip, som vist nok bliver brugt i ID Buzz, der bliver deres første selvkørende bil.
Renesas er forresten en japansk virksomhed.
https://twitter.com/JaneYCHsu/status/1458656346891423748?t=q33IShqw5RiMiWVt3djtUQ&s=19
Regarding to the self-driving chip, a few carmakers have already adopted the chip vendors' solutions. Here is the current situation.
Mobileye: BMW, Geely
NVIDIA: Mercedes, SAIC, Volvo, Zoox, Xiaopeng
Renesas: Honda, Toyota
https://twitter.com/AsifSuria/status/1458660190773932036?t=LVz3gnijrawyKjot48uBGw&s=19
Nedenfor interessant information, som jeg ikke var klar over vedrørende chip. Tesla udvikler i øvrigt deres egen chip i samarbejde med Samsung, så vidt jeg er orienteret. VW udvikler også deres egen chip, som vist nok bliver brugt i ID Buzz, der bliver deres første selvkørende bil.
Renesas er forresten en japansk virksomhed.
https://twitter.com/JaneYCHsu/status/1458656346891423748?t=q33IShqw5RiMiWVt3djtUQ&s=19
Regarding to the self-driving chip, a few carmakers have already adopted the chip vendors' solutions. Here is the current situation.
Mobileye: BMW, Geely
NVIDIA: Mercedes, SAIC, Volvo, Zoox, Xiaopeng
Renesas: Honda, Toyota
12/11 2021 08:48 tommycarstensen 098491
TriEye Secures $74m to Enable Short-Wave Infrared Sensing for Mass Market Applications
https://trieye.tech/about/
https://www.luminartech.com/luminar-provides-q3-2021-business-update-and-financials/
Luminar Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: LAZR), the global leader in automotive lidar hardware and software technology, today announced its quarterly business update and financial results for the third quarter of 2021, ended September 30, 2021. Building on Luminar's commercial momentum, this week the company announced that NVIDIA has selected Luminar1 for its autonomous vehicle platform known as NVIDIA DRIVE Hyperion, which is available now for 2024 vehicle models.
"This quarter was one to remember with the debut of our Proactive Safety software, new top vehicle integration partnerships, two trucking wins, closing the acquisition of a key supplier, world-class leadership additions, and the culmination of our platform win with NVIDIA," said Austin Russell, Luminar Founder and CEO. "At the same time, we've been meeting or beating all five of our company-level milestones we outlined towards the beginning of the year through relentless execution and commercial success. We look forward to powering the safest production vehicles on the road and enabling the first truly autonomous capabilities."
Today, Luminar released a video update regarding the path to series production of its Iris sensor. The video can be viewed at: www.luminartech.com/path.
Major 2021 Milestones and Q3 Company Highlights:
Today, Luminar reported progress against its five key 2021 milestones.
Iris Industrialization for Series Production: Product development and tooling are both predominantly complete, and Luminar is entering the C-phase of its product lifecycle. Luminar continues to work closely with its manufacturing partners Celestica and Fabrinet and has successfully secured next year's supply chain.
Software & Product Development: In Q3, Luminar debuted its Proactive Safety™ functionality, which is enabled by its Sentinel software, at IAA Mobility2. The company has successfully developed its alpha version of the full-stack Sentinel solution, and demonstrated both advanced automatic emergency braking and assisted highway driving capabilities. Luminar expects to unveil to the public its Sentinel alpha on Iris at the Consumer Electronics Show (CES) in January.
Commercial Programs & Customer Adoption: Luminar confirmed it achieved its goal of six major commercial wins this year, with the addition of NVIDIA and Polestar's public disclosure. In Q3, Luminar's technology was also selected by two of the leading autonomous trucking companies, Embark Trucks, Inc. and Kodiak Robotics, Inc. Additionally, Luminar announced new vehicle integration partnerships with two of the top automotive roof suppliers, Webasto and Inalfa, streamlining customer integration.
Forward-Looking Order Book: Luminar remains on-track for its goal of at least 60% year-over-year growth of its forward-looking order book in 2021 based on continued commercial acceleration of significant wins and volume opportunities.
Liquidity and Cash Position: Luminar remains on-track to achieve its target of ending the year with more cash on the balance sheet compared to year-end 2020.
Key Q3 2021 Financials:
After raising its revenue guidance the prior quarter, Luminar is maintaining its full-year 2021 guidance of $30 to $33 million. Key financial highlights for the quarter ended September 30, 2021:
Revenue was $8.0 million, up 89% year-over-year and up 26% compared to the prior quarter.
GAAP and Non-GAAP net loss: GAAP net loss was $51.3 million, or $(0.15) per share compared to a GAAP net loss of $37.5 million, or $(0.29) per share for the third quarter of 2020. Non-GAAP net loss was $36.0 million, or $(0.10) per share, compared to a non-GAAP net loss of $28.2 million, or $(0.22) per share, basic and diluted, for the third quarter of 2020.
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Marketable Securities were $544.9 million as of September 30, 2021, compared to $485.7 million as of December 31, 2020. Cash spend (operating cash flow less capital expenditures) was $37.5 million in Q3 and $98.4 million year-to-date.
https://trieye.tech/about/
https://www.luminartech.com/luminar-provides-q3-2021-business-update-and-financials/
Luminar Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ: LAZR), the global leader in automotive lidar hardware and software technology, today announced its quarterly business update and financial results for the third quarter of 2021, ended September 30, 2021. Building on Luminar's commercial momentum, this week the company announced that NVIDIA has selected Luminar1 for its autonomous vehicle platform known as NVIDIA DRIVE Hyperion, which is available now for 2024 vehicle models.
"This quarter was one to remember with the debut of our Proactive Safety software, new top vehicle integration partnerships, two trucking wins, closing the acquisition of a key supplier, world-class leadership additions, and the culmination of our platform win with NVIDIA," said Austin Russell, Luminar Founder and CEO. "At the same time, we've been meeting or beating all five of our company-level milestones we outlined towards the beginning of the year through relentless execution and commercial success. We look forward to powering the safest production vehicles on the road and enabling the first truly autonomous capabilities."
Today, Luminar released a video update regarding the path to series production of its Iris sensor. The video can be viewed at: www.luminartech.com/path.
Major 2021 Milestones and Q3 Company Highlights:
Today, Luminar reported progress against its five key 2021 milestones.
Iris Industrialization for Series Production: Product development and tooling are both predominantly complete, and Luminar is entering the C-phase of its product lifecycle. Luminar continues to work closely with its manufacturing partners Celestica and Fabrinet and has successfully secured next year's supply chain.
Software & Product Development: In Q3, Luminar debuted its Proactive Safety™ functionality, which is enabled by its Sentinel software, at IAA Mobility2. The company has successfully developed its alpha version of the full-stack Sentinel solution, and demonstrated both advanced automatic emergency braking and assisted highway driving capabilities. Luminar expects to unveil to the public its Sentinel alpha on Iris at the Consumer Electronics Show (CES) in January.
Commercial Programs & Customer Adoption: Luminar confirmed it achieved its goal of six major commercial wins this year, with the addition of NVIDIA and Polestar's public disclosure. In Q3, Luminar's technology was also selected by two of the leading autonomous trucking companies, Embark Trucks, Inc. and Kodiak Robotics, Inc. Additionally, Luminar announced new vehicle integration partnerships with two of the top automotive roof suppliers, Webasto and Inalfa, streamlining customer integration.
Forward-Looking Order Book: Luminar remains on-track for its goal of at least 60% year-over-year growth of its forward-looking order book in 2021 based on continued commercial acceleration of significant wins and volume opportunities.
Liquidity and Cash Position: Luminar remains on-track to achieve its target of ending the year with more cash on the balance sheet compared to year-end 2020.
Key Q3 2021 Financials:
After raising its revenue guidance the prior quarter, Luminar is maintaining its full-year 2021 guidance of $30 to $33 million. Key financial highlights for the quarter ended September 30, 2021:
Revenue was $8.0 million, up 89% year-over-year and up 26% compared to the prior quarter.
GAAP and Non-GAAP net loss: GAAP net loss was $51.3 million, or $(0.15) per share compared to a GAAP net loss of $37.5 million, or $(0.29) per share for the third quarter of 2020. Non-GAAP net loss was $36.0 million, or $(0.10) per share, compared to a non-GAAP net loss of $28.2 million, or $(0.22) per share, basic and diluted, for the third quarter of 2020.
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Marketable Securities were $544.9 million as of September 30, 2021, compared to $485.7 million as of December 31, 2020. Cash spend (operating cash flow less capital expenditures) was $37.5 million in Q3 and $98.4 million year-to-date.